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Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín — football prediction and analysis

Football · Colombia Categoría Primera A02:10
Mon, 26 Oct · 02:10 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Round 16
Atlético Nacional logo
Atlético Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellín logo
Independiente Medellín

Model Prediction

69%trust
Our pick
Atlético Nacional
69% Atlético18% Draw13% Medellín
Atlético Nacional
1.45
Draw
5.65
Independiente Medellín
7.63
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Likely score
2 – 0
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.9
Why this pick · from played results
Atlético NacionalW W L
Independiente MedellínW L L
  • →Atlético Nacional: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 (avg 2 scored, 1 conceded).
  • →Independiente Medellín: 1W 1D 3L in last 5 (avg 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded).
  • →Head-to-head: 1 previous meetings — Atlético Nacional 1W, Independiente Medellín 0W, 0 drawn.
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.3 – 0.9.

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