Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — football prediction and analysis
Football · Dutch Eredivisie23:00
Sat, 31 Oct · 23:00 · Johan Cruijff ArenA · Round 11
Ajax
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Model Prediction
45%trust
Our pick
Ajax
45% Ajax23% Draw32% Alkmaar
Ajax
2.24
Draw
4.31
AZ Alkmaar
3.11
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.5
Why this pick · from played results
AjaxW W W
AZ AlkmaarD W L
- →Ajax: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 (avg 2.2 scored, 1.2 conceded).
- →AZ Alkmaar: 2W 1D 2L in last 5 (avg 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded).
- →Expected goals from the model: 1.7 – 1.5.