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Aston Villa vs Manchester City — football prediction and analysis

Football · English Premier League14:30
Sat, 24 Oct · 14:30 · Villa Park · Round 8
Aston Villa logo
Aston Villa
VS
Manchester City logo
Manchester City

Model Prediction

65%trust
Our pick
Aston Villa
65% Aston17% Draw18% City
Aston Villa
1.54
Draw
5.75
Manchester City
5.71
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Likely score
2 – 1
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.3
Why this pick · from played results
Aston VillaD W W
Manchester CityW L W
  • →Aston Villa: 2W 1D 0L in last 3 (avg 3 scored, 0.7 conceded).
  • →Manchester City: 2W 0D 1L in last 3 (avg 2.7 scored, 2 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.6 – 1.3.

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