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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg — football prediction and analysis

Football · Austrian Bundesliga19:00
Sun, 8 Nov · 19:00 · Merkur Arena Graz · Round 12
Sturm Graz logo
Sturm Graz
VS
Red Bull Salzburg logo
Red Bull Salzburg

Model Prediction

45%trust
Our pick
Sturm Graz
45% Sturm23% Draw32% Salzburg
Sturm Graz
2.22
Draw
4.37
Red Bull Salzburg
3.12
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.5
Why this pick · from played results
Sturm GrazW D D
Red Bull SalzburgD W W
  • →Sturm Graz: 3W 2D 1L in last 6 (avg 2 scored, 1.2 conceded).
  • →Red Bull Salzburg: 3W 2D 1L in last 6 (avg 2.2 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.8 – 1.5.

Head-to-Head

Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
Sun, 20 Sept