Millwall vs Derby County — football prediction and analysis
Football · English League Championship18:00
Sat, 31 Oct · 18:00 · The Den · Round 13
Millwall
VS
Derby County
Model Prediction
48%trust
Our pick
Millwall
48% Millwall27% Draw26% County
Millwall
2.10
Draw
3.77
Derby County
3.86
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Likely score
1 – 0
Expected goals
1.5 – 1
Why this pick · from played results
MillwallL D L
Derby CountyL L D
- →Millwall: 1W 1D 2L in last 4 (avg 1 scored, 1.3 conceded).
- →Derby County: 0W 2D 2L in last 4 (avg 0.8 scored, 1.8 conceded).
- →Expected goals from the model: 1.4 – 1.