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Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers — football prediction and analysis

Football · English League Championship23:00
Fri, 6 Nov · 23:00 · Pride Park Stadium · Round 15
Derby County logo
Derby County
VS
Bolton Wanderers logo
Bolton Wanderers

Model Prediction

39%trust
Our pick
Derby County
39% Derby24% Draw37% Wanderers
Derby County
2.54
Draw
4.24
Bolton Wanderers
2.70
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Why this pick · from played results
Derby CountyL D L
Bolton WanderersD L L
  • →Derby County: 0W 2D 3L in last 5 (avg 0.8 scored, 2.2 conceded).
  • →Bolton Wanderers: 1W 1D 3L in last 5 (avg 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.6 – 1.6.