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Burgos vs Castellón — football prediction and analysis

Football · Spanish La Liga 220:30
Sun, 1 Nov · 20:30 · Estadio Municipal de El Plantío · Round 12
Burgos logo
Burgos
VS
Castellón logo
Castellón

Model Prediction

40%trust
Our pick
Castellón
32% Burgos28% Draw40% Castellón
Burgos
3.10
Draw
3.56
Castellón
2.53
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.2
Why this pick · from played results
BurgosL W W
CastellónL W W
  • →Burgos: 2W 0D 2L in last 4 (avg 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Castellón: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 (avg 2 scored, 0.4 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.1 – 1.2.