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Pen-y-Bont vs Caernarfon Town — football prediction and analysis

Football · Welsh Premier League22:45
Fri, 6 Nov · 22:45 · Bryntirion Park · Round 16
Pen-y-Bont logo
Pen-y-Bont
VS
Caernarfon Town logo
Caernarfon Town

Model Prediction

64%trust
Our pick
Pen-y-Bont
64% Pen-y-Bont19% Draw17% Town
Pen-y-Bont
1.56
Draw
5.24
Caernarfon Town
5.88
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Likely score
2 – 1
Expected goals
2.3 – 1.1
Why this pick · from played results
Pen-y-BontL W W
Caernarfon TownW W L
  • →Pen-y-Bont: 2W 0D 1L in last 3 (avg 2.7 scored, 0.7 conceded).
  • →Caernarfon Town: 2W 0D 2L in last 4 (avg 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.3 – 1.1.

Head-to-Head

Caernarfon Town
1 : 2
Pen-y-Bont
Fri, 7 Aug