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Benfica vs Alverca — football prediction and analysis

Football · Portuguese Primeira Liga23:15
Mon, 2 Nov · 23:15 · Estádio da Luz · Round 10
Benfica logo
Benfica
VS
Alverca logo
Alverca

Model Prediction

68%trust
Our pick
Benfica
68% Benfica18% Draw14% Alverca
Benfica
1.47
Draw
5.52
Alverca
7.25
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Likely score
2 – 0
Expected goals
2.4 – 1
Why this pick · from played results
BenficaW W W
AlvercaW L L
  • →Benfica: 4W 0D 0L in last 4 (avg 3 scored, 0.8 conceded).
  • →Alverca: 1W 0D 2L in last 3 (avg 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.3 – 0.9.