Alacranes de Durango vs Atlético Morelia — football prediction and analysis

⚽Football · Mexican Liga de Expansión MX04:00

Sun, 1 Nov · 04:00 · Estadio Francisco Zarco · Round 15

Alacranes de Durango

VS

Atlético Morelia

Model Prediction

57%trust

Our pick

Alacranes de Durango

57% Alacranes21% Draw22% Morelia

Alacranes de Durango

1.76

Draw

4.74

Atlético Morelia

4.48

Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds

Football markets · model estimate

Both teams score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Likely score

2 – 1

Expected goals

2 – 1.2

Why this pick · from played results

Alacranes de DurangoD W L

Atlético MoreliaD L W

• →Alacranes de Durango: 2W 1D 1L in last 4 (avg 2.8 scored, 1.3 conceded).
• →Atlético Morelia: 1W 2D 1L in last 4 (avg 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded).
• →Expected goals from the model: 2.1 – 1.2.