Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers — football prediction and analysis

⚽Football · Australian A-League11:40

Sat, 7 Nov · 11:40 · AAMI Park · Round 4

Melbourne City

VS

Western Sydney Wanderers

Model Prediction

45%trust

Our pick

Western Sydney Wanderers

30% Melbourne25% Draw45% Wanderers

Melbourne City

3.36

Draw

3.95

Western Sydney Wanderers

2.23

Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds

Football markets · model estimate

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Likely score

1 – 1

Expected goals

1.2 – 1.5

Why this pick · from played results

Melbourne CityL D W

Western Sydney WanderersD W W

• →Melbourne City: 1W 1D 1L in last 3 (avg 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded).
• →Western Sydney Wanderers: 2W 1D 0L in last 3 (avg 2 scored, 0.7 conceded).
• →Expected goals from the model: 1.2 – 1.5.