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Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets — football prediction and analysis

Football · Australian A-League13:45
Sat, 7 Nov · 13:45 · HBF Park · Round 4
Perth Glory logo
Perth Glory
VS
Newcastle Jets logo
Newcastle Jets

Model Prediction

72%trust
Our pick
Perth Glory
72% Perth16% Draw13% Jets
Perth Glory
1.40
Draw
6.45
Newcastle Jets
7.75
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Likely score
2 – 1
Expected goals
2.9 – 1.2
Why this pick · from played results
Perth GloryL L W
Newcastle JetsD L L
  • →Perth Glory: 1W 0D 2L in last 3 (avg 2 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Newcastle Jets: 0W 2D 3L in last 5 (avg 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.7 – 1.1.