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Alessandria vs Celle Varazze — football prediction and analysis

Football · Italy Serie D Girone A16:30
Sun, 8 Nov · 16:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta · Round 11
Alessandria logo
Alessandria
VS
Celle Varazze logo
Celle Varazze

Model Prediction

60%trust
Our pick
Alessandria
60% Alessandria23% Draw17% Varazze
Alessandria
1.67
Draw
4.39
Celle Varazze
5.75
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Likely score
1 – 0
Expected goals
1.9 – 0.9
Why this pick · from played results
AlessandriaW W W
Celle VarazzeD L W
  • →Alessandria: 4W 0D 0L in last 4 (avg 2.3 scored, 0.5 conceded).
  • →Celle Varazze: 1W 1D 1L in last 3 (avg 1 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.8 – 0.9.