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Pavia vs Casatese Merate — football prediction and analysis

Football · Italy Serie D Girone D16:30
Sun, 25 Oct · 16:30 · Stadio Pietro Fortunati · Round 9
Pavia logo
Pavia
VS
Casatese Merate logo
Casatese Merate

Model Prediction

38%trust
Our pick
Pavia
38% Pavia28% Draw35% Merate
Pavia
2.64
Draw
3.62
Casatese Merate
2.90
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.2
Why this pick · from played results
PaviaL D L
Casatese MerateL W L
  • →Pavia: 0W 1D 2L in last 3 (avg 1 scored, 1.7 conceded).
  • →Casatese Merate: 1W 0D 2L in last 3 (avg 0.7 scored, 1.7 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.2 – 1.2.

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