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Al-Ahli vs Al-Gharafa — football prediction and analysis

Football · AFC Champions League Elite19:00
Mon, 26 Oct · 19:00 · King Abdullah Sports City · Round 3
Al-Ahli logo
Al-Ahli
VS
Al-Gharafa logo
Al-Gharafa

Model Prediction

72%trust
Our pick
Al-Ahli
72% Al-Ahli16% Draw12% Al-Gharafa
Al-Ahli
1.40
Draw
6.13
Al-Gharafa
8.26
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Likely score
2 – 0
Expected goals
2.6 – 1
Why this pick · from played results
Al-AhliW W W
Al-GharafaL L D
  • →Al-Ahli: 3W 0D 0L in last 3 (avg 3.3 scored, 1 conceded).
  • →Al-Gharafa: 0W 1D 2L in last 3 (avg 1 scored, 1.7 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.5 – 1.