Lugo vs Mérida — football prediction and analysis
Football · Spanish Primera Federación Group 120:45
Sun, 1 Nov · 20:45 · Estadio Anxo Carro · Round 10
Lugo
VS
Mérida
Model Prediction
42%trust
Our pick
Mérida
33% Lugo25% Draw42% Mérida
Lugo
3.04
Draw
4.05
Mérida
2.36
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.5
Why this pick · from played results
LugoW W L
MéridaW W D
- →Lugo: 2W 0D 1L in last 3 (avg 2.3 scored, 1.7 conceded).
- →Mérida: 2W 1D 0L in last 3 (avg 2 scored, 0.3 conceded).
- →Expected goals from the model: 1.3 – 1.5.