UD Ourense vs Mérida — football prediction and analysis
Football · Spanish Primera Federación Group 118:30
Sat, 14 Nov · 18:30 · Estadio O Couto · Round 12
UD Ourense
VS
Mérida
Model Prediction
57%trust
Our pick
Mérida
17% UD26% Draw57% Mérida
UD Ourense
5.92
Draw
3.83
Mérida
1.75
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Likely score
0 – 1
Expected goals
0.7 – 1.5
Why this pick · from played results
UD OurenseL W L
MéridaD L W
- →UD Ourense: 2W 0D 4L in last 6 (avg 0.5 scored, 1.5 conceded).
- →Mérida: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 (avg 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded).
- →Expected goals from the model: 0.7 – 1.5.