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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City — football prediction and analysis

Football · UEFA Champions League23:00
Wed, 4 Nov · 23:00 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig · Round 4
RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig
VS
Manchester City logo
Manchester City

Model Prediction

53%trust
Our pick
RB Leipzig
53% RB19% Draw28% City
RB Leipzig
1.89
Draw
5.32
Manchester City
3.52
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
79%
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Likely score
2 – 1
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.9
Why this pick · from played results
RB LeipzigL W W
Manchester CityW L D
  • →RB Leipzig: 4W 0D 2L in last 6 (avg 2.5 scored, 1.8 conceded).
  • →Manchester City: 3W 1D 2L in last 6 (avg 2.7 scored, 1.8 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.5 – 1.9.