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AEK Athens vs Real Madrid — football prediction and analysis

Football · UEFA Champions League20:45
Wed, 4 Nov · 20:45 · Allwyn Arena · Round 4
AEK Athens logo
AEK Athens
VS
Real Madrid logo
Real Madrid

Model Prediction

40%trust
Our pick
AEK Athens
40% AEK20% Draw39% Madrid
AEK Athens
2.48
Draw
4.95
Real Madrid
2.54
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
79%
Likely score
2 – 2
Expected goals
2.1 – 2.1
Why this pick · from played results
AEK AthensL L W
Real MadridW W W
  • →AEK Athens: 2W 0D 2L in last 4 (avg 2.5 scored, 2 conceded).
  • →Real Madrid: 5W 0D 0L in last 5 (avg 3 scored, 1.2 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.1 – 2.1.