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Benfica vs Lech Poznań — football prediction and analysis

Football · UEFA Europa League23:00
Thu, 5 Nov · 23:00 · Estádio da Luz · Round 4
Benfica logo
Benfica
VS
Lech Poznań logo
Lech Poznań

Model Prediction

47%trust
Our pick
Benfica
47% Benfica21% Draw33% Poznań
Benfica
2.14
Draw
4.83
Lech Poznań
3.08
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Likely score
2 – 1
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.8
Why this pick · from played results
BenficaW W W
Lech PoznańD W W
  • →Benfica: 5W 0D 0L in last 5 (avg 3.2 scored, 0.8 conceded).
  • →Lech Poznań: 4W 1D 1L in last 6 (avg 2.7 scored, 1.5 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 2.1 – 1.8.