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Sturm Graz vs Marseille — football prediction and analysis

Football · UEFA Europa League19:45
Thu, 22 Oct · 19:45 · Merkur Arena Graz · Round 3
Sturm Graz logo
Sturm Graz
VS
Marseille logo
Marseille

Model Prediction

46%trust
Our pick
Sturm Graz
46% Sturm23% Draw32% Marseille
Sturm Graz
2.18
Draw
4.44
Marseille
3.15
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.5
Why this pick · from played results
Sturm GrazW L W
MarseilleW L W
  • →Sturm Graz: 2W 0D 1L in last 3 (avg 2.7 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Marseille: 2W 0D 1L in last 3 (avg 2.3 scored, 1 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.8 – 1.5.