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Sturm Graz vs Celje — football prediction and analysis

Football · UEFA Europa League23:00
Thu, 5 Nov · 23:00 · Merkur Arena Graz · Round 4
Sturm Graz logo
Sturm Graz
VS
Celje logo
Celje

Model Prediction

41%trust
Our pick
Sturm Graz
41% Sturm26% Draw32% Celje
Sturm Graz
2.42
Draw
3.82
Celje
3.09
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.2
Why this pick · from played results
Sturm GrazW W D
CeljeD W D
  • →Sturm Graz: 3W 1D 1L in last 5 (avg 2.2 scored, 1.2 conceded).
  • →Celje: 2W 3D 1L in last 6 (avg 1 scored, 1 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.4 – 1.2.