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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa — football prediction and analysis

Football · EFL Cup22:45
Wed, 28 Oct · 22:45 · Vitality Stadium · Round 16
Bournemouth logo
Bournemouth
VS
Aston Villa logo
Aston Villa

Model Prediction

43%trust
Our pick
Aston Villa
34% Bournemouth23% Draw43% Villa
Bournemouth
2.95
Draw
4.41
Aston Villa
2.30
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.8
Why this pick · from played results
BournemouthW W W
Aston VillaW W W
  • →Bournemouth: 3W 0D 1L in last 4 (avg 2.3 scored, 1.3 conceded).
  • →Aston Villa: 3W 1D 0L in last 4 (avg 3 scored, 0.8 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.6 – 1.8.