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Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion — football prediction and analysis

Football · EFL Cup22:30
Wed, 28 Oct · 22:30 · Etihad Stadium · Round 16
Manchester City logo
Manchester City
VS
Brighton and Hove Albion logo
Brighton and Hove Albion

Model Prediction

52%trust
Our pick
Brighton and Hove Albion
26% Manchester22% Draw52% Albion
Manchester City
3.88
Draw
4.59
Brighton and Hove Albion
1.91
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.9
Why this pick · from played results
Manchester CityL W W
Brighton and Hove AlbionW W D
  • →Manchester City: 3W 0D 1L in last 4 (avg 3.3 scored, 1.8 conceded).
  • →Brighton and Hove Albion: 3W 1D 0L in last 4 (avg 2.8 scored, 0 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.3 – 2.