Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso — football prediction and analysis

⚽Football · Uruguayan Primera Division16:00

Sun, 25 Oct · 16:00 · Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera · Round 12

Montevideo Wanderers

VS

Progreso

Model Prediction

44%trust

Our pick

Montevideo Wanderers

44% Montevideo25% Draw31% Progreso

Montevideo Wanderers

2.28

Draw

4.03

Progreso

3.18

Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds

Football markets · model estimate

Both teams score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Likely score

1 – 1

Expected goals

1.6 – 1.3

Why this pick · from played results

Montevideo WanderersW L L

ProgresoL D W

• →Montevideo Wanderers: 2W 0D 2L in last 4 (avg 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded).
• →Progreso: 1W 1D 1L in last 3 (avg 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded).
• →Expected goals from the model: 1.6 – 1.3.

Head-to-Head

Montevideo Wanderers

2 : 0

Progreso

Sat, 11 Jul

Progreso

2 : 1

Montevideo Wanderers

Sat, 18 Apr