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Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers — football prediction and analysis

Football · Uruguayan Primera Division22:30
Sat, 31 Oct · 22:30 · Estadio Campeón del Siglo · Round 13
Peñarol logo
Peñarol
VS
Montevideo Wanderers logo
Montevideo Wanderers

Model Prediction

50%trust
Our pick
Peñarol
50% Peñarol30% Draw20% Wanderers
Peñarol
2.01
Draw
3.34
Montevideo Wanderers
4.93
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Likely score
1 – 0
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.7
Why this pick · from played results
PeñarolD L D
Montevideo WanderersL L L
  • →Peñarol: 1W 3D 1L in last 5 (avg 0.6 scored, 0.6 conceded).
  • →Montevideo Wanderers: 2W 0D 3L in last 5 (avg 1 scored, 1.6 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.2 – 0.7.

Head-to-Head

Peñarol
5 : 1
Montevideo Wanderers
Wed, 5 Aug
Montevideo Wanderers
1 : 0
Peñarol
Sun, 26 Apr