Progreso vs Defensor Sporting — football prediction and analysis
Football · Uruguayan Primera Division16:00
Sun, 1 Nov · 16:00 · Round 13
Progreso
VS
Defensor Sporting
Model Prediction
65%trust
Our pick
Progreso
65% Progreso19% Draw17% Sporting
Progreso
1.54
Draw
5.35
Defensor Sporting
6.06
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Likely score
2 – 1
Expected goals
2.3 – 1.1
Why this pick · from played results
ProgresoD W W
Defensor SportingL L D
- →Progreso: 2W 1D 1L in last 4 (avg 1.5 scored, 1 conceded).
- →Defensor Sporting: 0W 1D 3L in last 4 (avg 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded).
- →Expected goals from the model: 2.3 – 1.1.
Head-to-Head
Defensor Sporting
1 : 0
Progreso
Mon, 27 Apr
Defensor Sporting
0 : 0
Progreso
Mon, 12 Jan