Alfreton Town vs Southport — football prediction and analysis
Football · FA Trophy18:00
Sat, 14 Nov · 18:00 · The Impact Arena · Round 128
Alfreton Town
VS
Southport
Model Prediction
45%trust
Our pick
Alfreton Town
45% Alfreton26% Draw29% Southport
Alfreton Town
2.25
Draw
3.80
Southport
3.42
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.1
Why this pick · from played results
Alfreton TownW W L
SouthportD L L
- →Alfreton Town: 2W 2D 2L in last 6 (avg 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded).
- →Southport: 0W 1D 4L in last 5 (avg 0.4 scored, 2 conceded).
- →Expected goals from the model: 1.4 – 1.1.