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Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol — football prediction and analysis

Football · Uruguayan Primera Division02:00
Mon, 16 Nov · 02:00 · Estadio Luis Franzini · Round 14
Defensor Sporting logo
Defensor Sporting
VS
Peñarol logo
Peñarol

Model Prediction

42%trust
Our pick
Defensor Sporting
42% Defensor28% Draw30% Peñarol
Defensor Sporting
2.38
Draw
3.60
Peñarol
3.33
Fair odds from our model (100 ÷ probability) — not bookmaker odds
Football markets · model estimate
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Likely score
1 – 1
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Why this pick · from played results
Defensor SportingL D W
PeñarolL D D
  • →Defensor Sporting: 1W 1D 3L in last 5 (avg 1.8 scored, 2 conceded).
  • →Peñarol: 1W 4D 1L in last 6 (avg 0.7 scored, 0.7 conceded).
  • →Expected goals from the model: 1.3 – 1.

Head-to-Head

Defensor Sporting
0 : 2
Peñarol
Sun, 24 May
Peñarol
1 : 1
Defensor Sporting
Mon, 4 May

Related Upcoming Matches

Uruguayan Primera Division
02:00
Fri, 13 Nov · Round 14
Cerro Largo logoCerro Largo
Progreso logoProgreso
39%trust
AI Prediction
Cerro Largo
2.54Model odds (not bookmaker)
Fair odds from our model — bookmaker odds not available yet
1
2.54
X
3.60
2
3.04
39%28% draw33%
Based on last 5 results each
Cerro LargoD W L1–1.4 avg
ProgresoW W L1.2–1.2 avg
Match details